Breeders Cup JUVENILE FILLIES

Started by stark, September 22, 2016, 08:33:53 AM

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stark

Comments by Jim Dunleavy, odds by Mike Watchmaker

Union Strike   Shelbe Ruis   81-69   4-1   BC Juvenile Fillies, SA, Nov. 5   
Won Del Mar Debutante going away with strong wide move; best in West at moment

Nonna Mela   Todd Pletcher   79-64-51   5-1   Frizette, BEL, Oct. 8, or Alcibiades, KEE, Oct. 7   
Will stretch out in distance following two blowout wins, including the Adirondack

Pretty City Dancer   Mark Casse   75-75-59   6-1   Alcibiades, KEE, Oct. 7   
A bit green while rallying for Spinaway dead heat; should love more distance

Sweet Loretta   Todd Pletcher   75-75-63   6-1   BC Juvenile Fillies, SA, Nov. 5   
Took lead in upper stretch and hung on for Spinaway dead heat after drifiting in stretch

American Cleopatra   Bob Baffert   76-74   8-1   Chandelier, SA, Oct. 1   
Pharoah's lil sis is a runner; made early move after Debutante leader, held well for second

Diadura   Michael Stidham   81-69   10-1   Alcibiades, KEE, Oct. 7   
Arlington-Washington Lassie winner is 2 for 2 on synthetic; dirt next

Champagne Room   Peter Eurton   76-78-69   12-1   Chandelier, SA, Oct. 1   Eurton:
Del Mar Debutante third may have come too soon after Sorrento victory

Daddys Lil Darling   Ken McPeek   68-69-56   15-1   Alcibiades, KEE, Oct. 7 or BC Juvenile Fillies, SA, Nov. 5   
Used wide move into stretch to win Pocahontas and earn WAYI berth in BC

Ever So Clever   Steve Asmussen   67-51-72   15-1   To be determined   
Was getting to winner late when second in slop in Pocahontas; possible for Alcibiades

Noted and Quoted   Bob Baffert   69-73-74   15-1   Chandelier, SA, Oct. 1   
May not have fired best shot when fourth in Del Mar Debutante while returning on 27 days' rest
                   
AE: Cherry Lodge

stark

1 Colorful Charades Rudy Rodriguez Luis Saez 30-1
2 With Honors J. Keith Desormeaux Flavien Prat 10-1
3 Valadorna Mark E. Casse Julien Leparoux 5-1
4 Yellow Agate Christophe Clement Manny Franco 8-1
5 Sweet Loretta Todd A. Pletcher Javier Castellano 6-1
6 Champagne Room Peter A. Eurton Mario Gutierrez 20-1
7 Jamyson 'n Ginger Rudy Rodriguez Irad Ortiz Jr. 8-1
8 Dancing Rags H. Graham Motion Angel Cruz 12-1
9 Union Strike Craig Dollase Martin Garcia 6-1
10 Noted and Quoted Bob Baffert Rafael Bejarano 9-2
11 Daddys Lil Darling Kenneth G. McPeek Corey Lanerie 12-1
12 American Gal Bob Baffert Mike Smith 6-1

peeptoad

I am probably going with Yellow Agate, though I do also like Valadorna here. I thought her maiden breaker was actually pretty good, and it was at today's distance, she should be able to save ground from 3 and should be able to close into a moderate to solid pace. Agate is the more prominent of those two (despite the ML odds) and the only real negative is that she hasn't gone two turns yet, but does have the pedigree for it. The outside Baffert would be my third choice; not a fan of the post or the fact that she hasn't run beyond 6F.