G2 Del Mar Derby 1 1/8th Turf $250K

[stark]

Fun race to handicap, every angle imaginable.  If you like front runners or closers, they're here, if you like 3X off the layoff or heck, there's even a horse back from the rigors of the Triple Crown
https://www.dmtc.com/data/pdf/racing/past-performances/1043.pdf


1   Gold Rush Dancer (CA)      3/C   L   F Prat   122   V Belvoir   8/1
2   Blackjackcat (KY)      3/G   L   M E Smith   122   M Glatt   8/1
3   Mr. Roary (KY)      3/G   L   E A Maldonado   122   G Papaprodromou   30/1
4   Moonlight Drive (ITY)      3/C   L   R Bejarano   122   B Baffert   6/1
5   I'malreadythere (FL)      3/G   L   T J Pereira   122   J Hollendorfer   20/1
6   Curlin Rules (KY)      3/C   L   T Baze   122   J W Sadler   15/1
7   Arcature (KY)      3/C   L   M Garcia   122   S Callaghan   20/1
8   Monster Bea (KY)      3/G   L   G L Stevens   122   P Miller   5/1
9   Dressed in Hermes (KY)      3/G   L   K J Desormeaux   122   J Armstrong   12/1
10   Trojan Nation (KY)      3/C   L   D Van Dyke   122   P Gallagher   12/1
11   Free Rose (KY)      3/G   L   N Arroyo, Jr.   122   R Baltas   6/1
12   Lucky Bryan (KY)      3/C   L   V Espinoza   122   J W Sadler   9/2
13   Ralis (CA)      3/C   L   M Gutierrez   122   D F O'Neill   8/1
14   Diplodocus (KY)      3/G   L   J Theriot   122   R Baltas   30/1
Also Eligibles:
15   Ebadan (IRE)      3/G   L   S Gonzalez   122   N D Drysdale   20/1
16   Materialistic (KY)      3/G   L   I Puglisi   122   P Eurton   30/1

[stark]

I really need to figure out who will win this race, the favorite should be about 5/1 when the gates open, suggestions are welcome, thanks in advance. 

1.  8/1  Dirt to turf, won 3 stakes races in a row all against CalBreds, gets leading rider.
2.  8/1  Lightly raced, inside speed, Smith to throttle the controls, trainer doesn't win Graded stakes.
3. 30/1 More inside speed, will be looking for a jock, Maldonado hurt in morning workouts today
4.  6/1  Bejarano back aboard, could be in the perfect spot turning for home.
5. 20/1 Cold King Jerry's hoss just barely lost to elders going longer, no wins 2016
6. 15/1 Sadler/Baze speed improved last out, first on turf.
7. 20/1 Garcia replaces Prat off brief freshening.
8.  5/1  Stevens hopes this turns into a jockeys race, he'll save the necessary punch for the lane.
9. 12/1 Better as a 2YO but KentD rides returns for small barn, beware.
10 12/1 Finally broke his maiden in start 9 after trying the triple crown, maybe turf is the answer.
11  6/1  Just wired 'em at 29/1, no reason to like him at 6/1 with other speed in the race.
12  9/2  Somebody had to be favored, one of the best closers in the race
13  8/1  O'Neill gets him back from NY, Reddam/Gutierrez will be closing in the lane.
14 30/1  First time gelding looking for a career best effort.
15 20/1 AE Trainer Drysdale very capable of winning at the strangest times these days.
16 30/1 AE Cheap improving sort hoping to draw in 3X off the freshening.

[Zenyatta]

My unscientific pick is Free Rose, because I know the owner.

[stark]

My unscientific pick is Free Rose, because I know the owner.

Sometimes that can be a great betting angle especially if they're all dressed up in the saddling area just waiting to have their picture taken in a few minutes!

Good luck, safe trip!

[Dusty]

Well we know the pace will be there - too bad about Maldonado he was the gunner for Mr Roary = I think Mike Smith fits Blackjackcat - but Dressed in Hermes may finally be ready to run and I like Kent up

[stark]

My mythical $100 bankroll just trying to turn a profit of some sort on a pair that might be of some value....

Of course I've got Baffert who doesn't win on the turf and Janet Armstrong who doesn't win much at all.

4 Moonlight Drive [ITY]   Win   $60.00
9 Dressed in Hermes   Win   $15.00
9 Dressed in Hermes   Place   $25.00

[curtis]

I'm big on the 1. I don't ever remember a Gottstein Futurity winner losing the Del Mar Derby.  You heard it right here.

[stark]

My unscientific pick is Free Rose, because I know the owner.

Congrats, they all looked very happy!

Me, well, now I need to pick the winner of Monday's 7th race to win the trip to Vegas for the DRF/NTRA tourney in January.
no problem!

[Zenyatta]

My unscientific pick is Free Rose, because I know the owner.

Congratulations to Bing Bush and all the members of Abbondanza Racing. I really wanted to be there! If he runs in the Hollywood Derby, save me a seat!

[Zenyatta]

Congrats, they all looked very happy!

There'll be an abbondanza amount of vino consumed tonight, for sure.