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Breeders Cup F&M TURF

Started by stark, September 21, 2016, 05:38:11 PM

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stark

Comments by Byron King DRF  Odds by Mike Watchmaker

Seventh Heaven   Aidan O'Brien   NA-NA-NA   4-1   BC F&M Turf at SA Nov. 5   
Is said to prefer firm ground, conditions probable at Santa Anita

Alice Springs   Aidan O'Brien   NA-NA-NA   5-1   QEII at Kee Oct. 15 or BC F&M Turf at SA Nov. 5   
The ante-post favorite with British books after winning G1 Matron.

Catch a Glimpse   Mark Casse   97-96-92   6-1   QEII at Kee Oct. 15   
8 for 9 on the turf, though untested vs. older mares.

Lady Eli   Chad Brown   101-100-91   6-1   Flower Bowl at Bel Oct. 8   
Strong comeback from 13-month layoff to be second in Ballston Spa.

Sea Calisi   Chad Brown   95-96-95   8-1   Flower Bowl at Bel Oct. 8   
Won Beverly D. in August at Arlington; 1 1/4-mile distance suits.

Time and Motion   James Toner   97-95-90   8-1   QEII at Kee Oct. 15   
The only filly to beat Catch a Glimpse on turf, doing so in the Lake Placid.

Dacita   Chad Brown   101-101-97   10-1   BC F&M Turf at SA Nov. 5   
Fell a nose short of stablemate Rainha da Bateria in Canadian.

Al's Gal   Mike Maker   93-95-90   15-1   BC F&M Turf at SA Nov. 5   
Much improved in 2016; beaten half-length by Sea Calisi in Beveral D.

Sentiero Italia   Kiaran McLaughlin   100-95-96   15-1   Flower Bowl at Bel Oct. 8   
Fourth in this race last year, she just ran third in Ballston Spa.

Ryans Charm   Armando Fillipuzzi   NA-NA-NA   30-1   BC F&M Turf at SA Nov. 5   
A "Win and You're In" qualifier from Peru, where she is reigning champion.


Man o Taz

What an accomplishment for Lady Eli winning the Flower Bowl. Wow.
"And Allah took a handful of southerly wind, blew His breath upon it, and created the horse.... Thou shall fly without wings, and conquer without any sword. Oh, horse" - old Bedouin saying.

stark

E. P. Taylor winner Al's Gal, owned by @Ramsey_Farm, onward to  @BreedersCup FM Turf,  @trainerMMaker texted Monday

Man o Taz

What a race for Time and Motion.

She has really come into her own.

Hope we see her next year.

Hope Catch A Glimpse performs better next out. 2nd loss in a row after going undefeated.

Still one of my favorites.
"And Allah took a handful of southerly wind, blew His breath upon it, and created the horse.... Thou shall fly without wings, and conquer without any sword. Oh, horse" - old Bedouin saying.

stark

1 Sea Calisi Chad C. Brown Florent Geroux 8-1
2 Catch a Glimpse Mark E. Casse 12-1
3 Seventh Heaven Aidan P. O'Brien Ryan Moore 3-1
4 Avenge Richard E. Mandella Flavien Prat 15-1
5 Al's Gal Michael J. Maker Jose Ortiz 15-1
6 Zipessa Michael Stidham Joe Bravo 20-1
7 Sentiero Italia Kiaran P. McLaughlin Jose Rosario 12-1
8 Lady Eli Chad C. Brown Irad Ortiz Jr. 5-2
9 Ryans Charm Patrick Gallagher Rafael Bejarano 30-1
10 Kitcat Juan Silva Gonzalo Ulloa Perez 20-1
11 Queen's Trust Sir Michael R. Stoute Frankie Dettori 6-1
12 Pretty Perfect Aidan P. O'Brien Seamus Heffernan 15-1
13 Nuovo Record Makoto Saito Yutaka Take 12-1

stark

#6
Still working on the translation, sorry, but no matter what language, I think it's worth noting a horse that went 17 wide and will be 30-1 on BC day.
This was a win-and-you're-in G1 event in Peru.

https://youtu.be/kicFno8xZ40

peeptoad

I respect to Lady Eli and I will def. be using her for exotics, but I really like Al's Gal in this spot at a price. She probably can't win against these, but I think she'll get good pace to close into, she's proven at longer distances (even longer would be better), she's fairly tractable, and improving at the right time. I liked Avenge more until Catch a Glimpse signed on for this race so I may give that one a pass, but will likely use Seventh Heaven, who is my preferred European shipper here. Sea Calisi is another I may use, but probably underneath only.

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