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Travers Stakes

Started by Man o Taz, August 09, 2016, 09:36:28 AM

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Man o Taz

American Freedom
Arrogate
Connect
Creator
Destin
Economic Model
Exaggerator
Gift Box
Governor Malibu
Laoban
Mohaymen
Mo Tom

Big field possible...
"And Allah took a handful of southerly wind, blew His breath upon it, and created the horse.... Thou shall fly without wings, and conquer without any sword. Oh, horse" - old Bedouin saying.

stark

Mohaymen to bypass the Travers and head to the one turn King's Bishop.

afleetphil

Probably smart.

peeptoad

A full field of 14 is expected for the draw tonight:

American Freedom
Anaximandros
Arrogate
Connect
Creator
Destin
Exaggerator
Forever d'Oro
Gift Box
Governor Malibu
Gun Runner
Laoban
Majesto
My Man Sam

afleetphil

1./ Gov Malibu
2./ Destin
3./ Exagerator

Dusty

The full field is listed here in post position order, along with morning-line odds courtesy of Travis Stone. With Odds

Arrogate 10-1 (Mike Smith)
American Freedom 6-1 (Rafael Bejarano)
My Man Sam 20-1 (Manny Franco)
Governor Malibu 12-1 (Joel Rosario)
Forever d'Oro 30-1 (Luis Saez)
Anaximandros 50-1 (Leonel Reyes)
Exaggerator 3-1 (Kent Desormeaux)
Destin 10-1 (Javier Castellano)
Gift Box 12-1 (Junior Alvarado)
Connect 4-1 (John Velazquez)
Majesto 30-1 (Ricardo Santana, Jr.)
Creator 15-1 (Irad Ortiz, Jr.)
Laoban 15-1 (Jose Ortiz)
Gun Runner 10-1 (Florent Geroux)
May they run with the wind

peeptoad

#6
pps on the way:
https://downthestretchs.com/

...looks like some value in this race for sure. Gift Box, in particular, at 12/1 might be bank...

stark

Quote from: peeptoad on August 24, 2016, 05:25:35 AM

...looks like some value in this race for sure.

Agree, but in Baffert we trust!

Man o Taz

American Freedom, Creator, Destin, Exaggerator, and Governor Malibu is my trifecta...in no particular order...
"And Allah took a handful of southerly wind, blew His breath upon it, and created the horse.... Thou shall fly without wings, and conquer without any sword. Oh, horse" - old Bedouin saying.

peeptoad

Quote from: stark on August 24, 2016, 08:45:18 AM
Agree, but in Baffert we trust!

I suspect only one of the Baffert charges will be a reasonable price come post time. Likely at least 4 horses will be under 5/1 I'm thinking... Maybe I'm wrong, but there's  still value to be had! Of course Gift Box is one I think will get bet, but I ain't married to him at all. Was just remembering his trip as compared to Connect in the Curlin S.



Senator L

It seems outside of CA Bejarano doesn't seem to get it done. Even if you like the fave you'll still
get at least 2-1 on a dry track. For an absolute bomb take a gander at Anaximandros he is
going to love the extra distance.
Going to be a fun race to bet  :chickendance:

Raven

If Governor Malibu is 12/1 at post time, he will be a big overlay!!

call no man happy till he dies. ~SOLON~

peeptoad

Quote from: Senator L on August 24, 2016, 02:54:56 PM
For an absolute bomb take a gander at Anaximandros he is
going to love the extra distance.
Going to be a fun race to bet  :chickendance:
I liked this horse in the WV Derby and he ran an okay 4th at 50-1.  I didn't bet him then, but maybe bombs away this time.  :chickendance:

peeptoad

Governor Malibu is my rather tepid top pick. I also like Gift Box, but this is wide open. I think the Gov is turning into a wise guy, so his price may drop whereas I think Gift Box might drift. Might box those two with Amer Freedom. I don't like Arrogate in this spot, but now watch him win.

stark

Quote from: peeptoad on August 27, 2016, 07:32:06 AM
I don't like Arrogate in this spot, but now watch him win.

Thanks in advance  :lmao:

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