I'll give Slumber a chance to upset the chalk here.
Flintshire hasn't run since Dec in Hong Kong. Taking a chance against him with all the globetrotting he's done plus the layoff. Also like Wake Forest a bit and Big Blue Kitten 2nd off. The Kitten is 0-3 at 10F, but he appears to run well over the inner turf.
Take the Stand is the wise guy here. With the early speed in these tighter turns he could go gate-wire. He's never been this far though and he could take pressure form Triple Threat and Grand Tito (who is hopefully fully recovered from the paddock incident on Derby day).