Thoroughbred Racing Fans

Racing => Racing => Topic started by: afleetphil on May 03, 2015, 07:39:48 AM

Title: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: afleetphil on May 03, 2015, 07:39:48 AM
Will Dortmund go or does Baffert hold him out as too much competition For American Pharoah's triple crown bid. Who else is going.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: The Tin Man on May 03, 2015, 07:59:14 AM
I think it was pretty evident the distance was a little to far for Dortmund, so I figure he goes to The Preakness ... but not The Belmont.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: peeptoad on May 03, 2015, 12:34:48 PM
I think the top 3 are all pointed there:
http://www.pimlico.com/race-info/news/top-three-derby-finishers-headed-preakness (http://www.pimlico.com/race-info/news/top-three-derby-finishers-headed-preakness)
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: serenassong on May 04, 2015, 05:15:34 AM
Quote from: peeptoad on May 03, 2015, 12:34:48 PM
I think the top 3 are all pointed there:
http://www.pimlico.com/race-info/news/top-three-derby-finishers-headed-preakness (http://www.pimlico.com/race-info/news/top-three-derby-finishers-headed-preakness)

That is my understanding as well.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Man o Taz on May 04, 2015, 11:24:31 AM
Bhodisattva
Competitive Edge
Danzig Moon
Divining Rod
International Star
Mr. Z, of course. (roll eyes)

That's 9...

And who knows who might come in from some of the other preps...



Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: curtis on May 04, 2015, 01:43:50 PM
Quote from: The Tin Man on May 03, 2015, 07:59:14 AM
I think it was pretty evident the distance was a little to far for Dortmund, so I figure he goes to The Preakness ... but not The Belmont.

I actually don't think the distance is what beat Dortmund but just the way the race set up.  He wouldn't have won at 9f and he's proven at that distance.  American Pharoah is just a better horse and Firing Line has a better turn of foot.  Dortmund is a true galloper.  I think he could get 12f just fine.  He's similar to Moreno only I like Dortmund a little more than him.  I doubt that Dortmund will still be running until age 5 though.  I'd really like to see Dortmund try turf but that might necessitate a change of trainers.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Man o Taz on May 05, 2015, 07:20:00 AM
Some have also suggested that the rail was the worst part of the track to run over so Dortmund may have suffered from that as well.

Firing Line and American Pharoah were off the rail which may have helped them accelerate better in the stretch.

I still believe Dortmund with the right set up may beat American Pharoah and Firing Line.

I wonder if they all go to the Haskell or if one tries the Jim Dandy.

I think it would be interesting to see these three with Carpe Diem and Materiality at 9 furlongs over a fast track like Monmouth.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Catalina on May 05, 2015, 07:36:51 AM
Aside from that, Dortmund is a BIG horse.  All that muscle comes in handy in a racehorse, but it's heavy.  There's no doubt a fine line between the max amount of muscle for the job, and too much extra muscle weight.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: curtis on May 05, 2015, 12:09:13 PM
I think that Dortmund's size is usually way overblown.  The fastest 10f ever run by an American three-year-old on dirt was completed by Quack a horse at least as tall as Dortmund and much heavier in body.  Of course their styles were dissimilar and therein lies the primary difference.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Raven on May 05, 2015, 05:04:58 PM
Curtis,did you see Quack race?
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Delamont on May 06, 2015, 06:07:38 AM
What about Frosted?  Is he aimed at the Preakness?
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Man o Taz on May 06, 2015, 07:18:04 AM
Quote from: Delamont on May 06, 2015, 06:07:38 AM
What about Frosted?  Is he aimed at the Preakness?

No. He is pointing to the Jim Dandy and the Travers Stakes, but his connections indicated that he could go in the Belmont Stakes if he is training sharply at that point and wants a race.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Delamont on May 06, 2015, 08:04:33 AM
Quote from: Man o Taz on May 06, 2015, 07:18:04 AM
No. He is pointing to the Jim Dandy and the Travers Stakes, but his connections indicated that he could go in the Belmont Stakes if he is training sharply at that point and wants a race.


Thanks.  I'm no expert, but he seems to be a deep closer who might do well in the Belmont.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: curtis on May 06, 2015, 08:50:28 AM
Quote from: Raven on May 05, 2015, 05:04:58 PM
Curtis,did you see Quack race?
Indeed I did.  Save for Anniversary Year and Border Run--my two knuckle-headed OTTB's--he's my all-time favorite.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: serenassong on May 07, 2015, 04:59:33 AM
In regards to Dortmund- I saw somewhere that he had a case of colic before the Derby- so he may not have been 100%.
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Man o Taz on May 13, 2015, 11:59:37 AM
I expect to see Dortmund improve.

Well, it looks like there will be 8 for the Preakness.

American Pharoah
Bodhisatva
Danzig Moon
Divining Rod
Dortmund
Firing Line
Mr. Z
Tale Of Verve
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Raven on May 13, 2015, 02:57:53 PM
Agree!!
Dortmund
Firing Line
My opinion and $5 will gets you a coffee at Starbucks!!
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: peeptoad on May 15, 2015, 08:20:41 AM
Anyone playing the all stakes P4? Should be a juicy one...  :chickendance:
Title: Re: Which Horses Are Going To The Preakness
Post by: Senator L on May 15, 2015, 09:58:35 AM
I'm playing fri if I win I'll play sat