I just took a closer look at this race, and there are a few horses I strongly like, and a few others than I think would be excellent to use underneath in exotics.
I would play against Game on Dude here, simply because of his likely price. I think he could blow the doors off these guys, or finish out of the money. Neither result would surprise me, and his price will be too short for a play imo. I'm willing to let him beat me.
I think both Toast of New York and Shared Belief are the strongest win candidates. Of the two I prefer Toast of NY. His price will be better, but I think he will take money; just not as much as SB. There are question marks about SB, but he is fast and has handled a variety of tracks/distances, although this is his stiffest test yet, by far.
The other two horses I like for exotics are Irish Surf and You Know I Know. Both are fast enough to hit the board (and YKIK was 3rd here last year) and have handled AW and relative distance well. To a lesser extent I might also use Clubhouse Ride. He appears better on dirt, and he just doesn't hit the board as consistently. He's a horse I would use sparingly though.
I'll probably play Toast of NY across, depending on his price, and Shared Belief for the win.
exacta key: 8,11/ 2,6,8,9,11
Might also box the 2,6,8,11 for the exacta.
good luck
If Shared Belief doesn't get it ... I'm betting Majestic Harbor will ...
My heart want the Dude ... but I think he's gonna crater. :(
That was a powerful run by Shared Belief and he earned a 115 BSF... now he likely gets one more race (the Awesome Again) prior to the BC. Chrome better have his running shoes on!
Quote from: The Tin Man on August 24, 2014, 11:57:19 AM
If Shared Belief doesn't get it ... I'm betting Majestic Harbor will ...
My heart want the Dude ... but I think he's gonna crater. :(
Majestic Harbor was my pick for this race.
I never thought Shared Belief could hold on.
Happy to be proven wrong.