PICK OF THE DAY!

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Started by Raven, November 17, 2013, 08:19:39 AM

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Senator L

Eclipse Award Nomination
Posts: 1,147
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Re: PICK OF THE DAY!

#1786

November 02, 2018, 07:12:17 AM Last Edit: November 03, 2018, 07:23:48 AM by Senator L

CD R5 #1 Strike Silver wps out
R6 #13 My gal betty wps out
R7 #4 Restless Rider wps 3.90 3.20
R8 #7 SomelikeitBrown wps 8.20
R9 #13 Topper T wps out but lucky I did a saver bet - couldn't believe this horse Knicks Go
was 40-1 again Bet 33171119866943 Churchill, Race 9, $17.00 SHW 10 $96.05 $17.00

Good luck :chickendance:

peeptoad

G3 Stakes Winner
Posts: 375
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Re: PICK OF THE DAY!

#1787

November 02, 2018, 07:56:35 AM

I wasn't going to bet today, but since he drew in win bet on #13 Big drink of water and also #4 Stillwater Cove- CD5

gl

stark

G1 Stakes Winner
Posts: 760
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Re: PICK OF THE DAY!

#1788

November 02, 2018, 07:22:31 PM

Big day Saturday.
I can't find a single for rolling exotics, not even Enable as Waldgeist ain't exactly chopped liver.

So, for the purpose of bragging rights, and cash in MY wallet, here's my one and only best bet of the day.

Race 9 The Distaff

# 9 WOW CAT for Chad Brown and one of the Ortiz brothers at 8/1 on the morning line.
The favorites, while all very good horses seem to have some question marks attached, while WowCat seems to be an improving sort for his 4th race in the country.

Best wishes all, enjoy the day.

peeptoad

G3 Stakes Winner
Posts: 375
Logged

Re: PICK OF THE DAY!

#1789

November 03, 2018, 06:12:49 AM

FM Sprint - Selcourt, Miss Sunset, Marley's Freedom
Trying to get a longshot into the mix, but I won't be betting this one.
Turf Sprint - Hembree
He won me $ last out so I'll stay with him. The added 1/2f on the turf sprints this year should suit him. I'll also like Stormy Liberal and Rainbow Heir.
Dirt Mile - Trigger Warning, Catalina Cruiser
I think CC is good enough to alter Sadler's BC record, but anything can happen. Been waiting since July for them to turn Trigger Warning back to one turn. Also like Seeking the Soul, Firenze Fire, and Seven Trumpets underneath. Go get em.
FM Turf - Wild Illusion, Eziyra, Paved and Fourstar Crook. In that order...
if Eziyra had a better post she might be my top pick. Think Paved will do well with the added distance. Box those 4 for the exacta.
Sprint - Imperial Hint, Whitmore.
Roy H is the other with a strong chance at the win, also Promises, but I don't like him as much getting pressed by Hint. Think Limo Liberal wants another furlong to fire his best. no bets since I expect chalk.
Mile - Mustashry, Expert Eye, Catapult
I also give Oscar Performance a huge chance if the turf is firm and he doesn't scratch. On Thursday the trainer sounded very unsure and said they were leaning towards scratching. Maybe the turf will firm up and he'll stay in. I also read that Expert Eye may scratch so I'm holding off on this one as well.
Distaff - Abel Tasman, Blue Prize, Wonder Gadot
Boxed for the exacta. I might bet Blue Prize if her odds stay near the ML. I also think this is Gadot's best dirt track. I hammered her for the oaks and she almost got there. If she's rebounded off the last couple I expect a good run from her. Dissimilarly, I think Monomoy Girl has had a long season and maybe over the top. She also could get hung wide with that post.
Turf - Enable, Arklow, Robert Bruce, Waldgeist
In that order. I expect Enable to win, but who knows... Arklow is a horse who has improved recently (and since the switch to turf) and stranger things have happened.
Classic - Thunder Snow, Catholic Boy, Yoshida

Accelerate and West Coast will take most of the green, and I'd place them next due to a combination of post and low odds. Of the two I give Accelerate a better chance if he can overcome the post. Too many questions in my mind about West Coast and second off that layoff, but no real reason why he can't be right there. Thunder Snow to me seems primed and he's adept on dirt and at the distance. He's also tractable, can send or take back if needed. I fully expect Mendy to go, esp. with the defection of Diversify, but I don't think he wants 10F like some of these others do. I feel similarly about Yoshida at 10F, though I think he'll take to the track surface here just fine. Catholic Boy might be the third best of his crop, but I think he'll jump forward again here and we know he's game; question remains whether he's good enough to handle these right now.
At my own peril I am tossing McKinzie (not sold on him in this particular spot, and esp at 10F), Mind Your Biscuits (nothing but respect for him, but another added furlong is a tall order against these) and Pavel (who is getting an amazing amount of support from the pundits considering he's 0-5 at 10F and only 1-7 against G1 company).