Breeders Cup JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

Started by stark, September 22, 2016, 08:38:08 AM

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stark

Odds by Brad Free, comments by Steve Andersen

Lady Aurelia   Wesley Ward   NA-NA-NA   4-1   Cheveley Park, Newmarket, Saturday   
Unbeaten filly has won in Kentucky, England, and France

Coasted   Leah Gyarmati   75-82-70   5-1   Miss Grillo, Belmont, Oct. 2   
Thrived on turf at Saratoga with consecutive wins

With Honors   Keith Desormeaux   73-69   6-1   Surfer Girl, Santa Anita, Oct. 10   
Unbeaten in two starts, latest was stakes win from wide draw

Victory to Victory   Mark Casse   83-79-57   6-1   BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, Santa Anita, Nov. 4   
Emphatic win in Natalma merits massive respect

Sweeping Paddy   Dale Romans   77-55   8-1   Jessamine, Keeneland, Oct. 12   
Massive potential after maiden win on turf by 12 1/4 lengths

Lull   Christophe Clement   70-DNF-71   8-1   Jessamine, Keeneland, Oct. 12   
Overcame fall at Saratoga to win stakes at Kentucky Downs

Noble Ready   Christophe Clement   74-60-45   10-1   To be determined   
Will benefit from second to Coasted in stakes at Saratoga

Majestic Gale   Joe Sharp   67-55-35   12-1   Jessamine, Keeneland, Oct. 12   
Unbeaten on turf, but must improve from Louisiana stakes win

Con Te Partiro   Wesley Ward   77-55-NA   12-1   Surfer Girl, Santa Anita, Oct. 10   
Brilliant in Saratoga turf sprint, will go a mile in next start

You Missed It   Doug O'Neill   72-68-70   15-1   Surfer Girl, Santa Anita, Oct. 10   
Still a maiden, but stable will accept that challenge
                   
Others: Caroline Test, Hydrangea, Intricately, Lady Beware, Madame Dancealot, Price Too High, Promise to Be True, Red Lodge

Zenyatta

Lady Aurelia is a beast, but still leaning toward Coasted.

stark

The Kentucky-based Lady Aurelia is no longer considered a candidate for the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf at Santa Anita on Nov. 4, trainer Wesley Ward said in a text an hour after the race. He told British television after the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes that he will focus on preparing Lady Aurelia for the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot next June. The Group 1 Commonwealth Cup is a six-furlong turf sprint for 3-year-olds.

Lady Aurelia had her fourth start in the Cheveley Park and her third in Europe. She beat maidens at Keeneland in April before winning two prominent races in England and France – the Group 2 Queen Mary Stakes for fillies at Royal Ascot in June and the Group 1 Prix Morny Stakes against colts and fillies at Deauville, France, in August.

Lady Aurelia was the 4-6 favorite in a field of six in the Cheveley Park Stakes. Ridden by Frankie Dettori, Lady Aurelia was away well and led by about four lengths midway through the race on a straightaway course. With a furlong to go, Brave Anna and Roly Poly were closing and went in front of Lady Aurelia in the final sixteenth.

stark

1 Hydrangea Aidan P. O'Brien Seamus Heffernan 6-1
2 Lull Christophe Clement Joel Rosario 15-1
3 New Money Honey Chad C. Brown Javier Castellano 10-1
4 Spain Burg Kathy Ritvo Frankie Dettori 5-1
5 Victory to Victory Mark E. Casse Julien Leparoux 12-1
6 Coasted Leah Gyarmati Mike Smith 20-1
7 Intricately Joseph O'Brien Donnacha O'Brien 6-1
8 Madam Dancealot Richard Baltas John Velazquez 30-1
9 Cavale Doree Christophe Ferland Flavien Prat 15-1
10 Happy Mesa H. Graham Motion Jose Ortiz 20-1
11 Rymska Chad C. Brown Irad Ortiz Jr. 20-1
12 La Force Patrick Gallagher Rafael Bejarano 30-1
13 Roly Poly Aidan P. O'Brien Ryan Moore 4-1
14 La Coronel Mark E. Casse Florent Geroux 9-2

Also-eligible

15 Con Te Partiro Wesley A. Ward John Velazquez 30-1
16 Sweeping Paddy Dale L. Romans Robby Albarado 30-1

peeptoad

I'm a little underwhelmed by this one so again likely won't bet, but New Money Honey and Spain Burg look solid to me. Roly Poly and La Coronel have those bad posts to overcome, but that's not outside the realm of reason. Another possibility is Intricately for the European contingent, if she can work out a decent stalking trip.

stark

#5
Victory to Victory is withdrawn from BC Juvenile Fillies Turf
A splint bone injury will cost Victory to Victory a start in Friday's $1 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf at Santa Anita, trainer Mark Casse said.

Her absence will allow Sweeping Paddy (16) to draw into the field from the also-eligible list. Trained by Dale Romans, Sweeping Paddy won a maiden race on turf at Kentucky Downs by 12 1-4 lengths on Sept. 10 and was fourth behind the Casse-trained La Coronel in the Grade 3 Jessamine Stakes at Keeneland on Oct. 12.

Gary Stevens gets the pickup mount on Paddy.

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